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NFL Week 10 Picks & Predictions:
Updated: November 2021

NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTIONS

 

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The 6-2 Ravens travel to Miami which did something in Week 9 that it had not done since Week 1 – win a game. The Dolphins and Texans combined for an ugly nine turnovers before Miami figured out it could actually win a game. The Ravens shook off their upset loss to Cincinnati a couple weeks ago by beating Minnesota 34-31 last week. There’s a reason why Baltimore opened as a 6.5-point favorite… BALTIMORE 27, MIAMI 17

 

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The Titans are on absolute fire right now. They are 7-2 and own the top seed in the AFC currently. Tennessee beat the Rams on Sunday night for their fifth straight win, a streak that includes wins over Buffalo, Kansas City, and Indianapolis. New Orleans (5-3) is no slouch, but the Saints have a quarterback problem with Jameis Winston out for the rest of the season. The Titans play just enough defense to make them dangerous and with Adrian Peterson now in the backfield Tennessee is trending up… TENNESSEE 34, NEW ORLEANS 27

 

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Jacksonville won its second game in three weeks. Wait, what? Yes, and the Jags beat the Buffalo Bills 9-6 last week. The Jags have actually won two of the last three against AFC South foe Indy. The Colts beat the Jets last Thursday with an offense that erupted for 45 points. Indy has the advantage on rest time and the Jags are on the road. Jacksonville will come back to Earth as the Colts take this one… INDIANAPOLIS 27, JACKSONVILLE 10

 

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The Browns just keep fighting back. After losing to Pittsburgh at home, Cleveland rebounded for a huge 41-16 win over Cincinnati last week. Baker Mayfield threw for two touchdowns and Nick Chubb ran for two as the Browns moved to 5-4. Now, Cleveland must go on the road against a New England team that has won three straight. Surprisingly, the Patriots are only 1-4 at home this season. Still, this is a game where Belichick outcoaches Cleveland’s Kevin Stefanick… NEW ENGLAND 24, CLEVELAND 19

 

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Who in their right mind would have thought the Buffalo Bills would lose to Jacksonville last week? Well, there’s just no way they could lose to another bad team, or could they? The Bills beat the Jets in both games last year and Buffalo has won three of the last four. The Jets lost to the Colts last Thursday night, but QB Mike White left with an injury. He’ll be back Sunday, but will he be enough to propel New York to a win? Not likely… BUFFALO 33, NY JETS 20

 

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The Chargers needed a last-second field goal to beat Philly last week. Now, they get the Vikings at home. Minnesota is just 3-5 and can’t seem to buy a break. The Vikings lost their last two straight by a total of seven points. The Chargers are favored at home and rightfully so. The Vikings haven’t done anything this season to change their perception as a mediocre football team. If anything, Minnesota is making a case that they are worse than expected. They will lose again… LA CHARGERS 27, MINNESOTA 23

 

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The Eagles are consistently inconsistent this season. They are also very one-dimensional. Relying on the run too much, the Eagles will find the running game a tough go against Denver. The Broncos are sixth against the run this season allowing just 98.3 yards per game. Plus, there is the whole issue of playing at elevation which makes it difficult for teams that are not used to it. Philly has one win in its previous four games and that was over Detroit. Denver is no Detroit… DENVER 20, PHILADELPHIA 17

 

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The big news here will be on Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers. The Packers quarterback had to miss last week’s game due to COVID protocols. The earliest he can return is Saturday, the day before this game. The Packers kept last week’s game with the Chiefs close, but fell short in the end with Jordan Love at quarterback. One thing is clear. Betting against Russell Wilson isn’t a good idea. Betting against him as an underdog is an even worse idea… SEATTLE 23, GREEN BAY 21

 

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Are the Chiefs coming out of their funk? Maybe, but they have won two straight even the two wins were by a combined nine points. The Raiders lost the last time out to the Giants. This is the first of two games against the Chiefs over the next month. The Raiders have beaten the Chiefs just once in the last seven games. The Chiefs are rolling. The Raiders are not… KANSAS CITY 27, LAS VEGAS 20

 

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The 49ers season is just about over. They lost last week to Arizona which was playing without starting QB Kyler Murray and starting WR DeAndre Hopkins. The Niners haven’t won a home game yet this year and the Rams (7-2) are going to want to get back on track. They can still win the NFC West. San Francisco has won the last four straight in this series. With the Rams stumbling last week, the Niners take advantage and pull the upset at home…
SAN FRANCISCO 29, LA RAMS 24

 

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2020 week 10 predictions:

 

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The Colts defense held Baltimore in check last week but Indy QB Philip Rivers threw a costly interception that led to a game-sealing Ravens touchdown drive. Now, the Colts have to go on the road to Tennessee, which won its sixth game last week with a win over Chicago. Tennessee hasn’t beaten the Colts at home since the 2017 season. The Colts have the better defense; the Titans have the better offense...and they’re at home… TENNESSEE 23, INDIANAPOLIS 20

 

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Houston has two wins this season, both over Jacksonville (1-7). Now, they travel to Cleveland to face the Browns, who will be coming off a bye. Cleveland hasn’t beaten Houston since 2007, a series of five straight losses. The Texans have one of the NFL’s worst defenses (31.0 ppg) and have a hard time running the football (84.9 ypg). The Browns have only won one of their past three games and that was over Cincinnati (2-5-1). Give Cleveland the advantage at home though… CLEVELAND 28, HOUSTON 17

 

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Washington is now back to Alex Smith at quarterback. The veteran who suffered a gruesome leg injury and hadn’t played since 2018 returned to action last week when Kyle Allen dislocated an ankle. Smith will be fine, but the Washington offense just isn’t very good. The Lions aren’t much better and Matthew Stafford left last week’s game - a loss to Minnesota - in the fourth quarter. The Lions are at home and should get another win against a bad football team… DETROIT 34, WASHINGTON 24

 

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Green Bay recovered from a loss to Minnesota by waxing San Francisco last Thursday. Now, the Packers have a few extra days of preparation for Jacksonville, which hasn’t won since the opening week of the season. The Jags have dropped seven straight and may have a quarterback issue. Jake Luton played well last week subbing for starter Gardner Minshew. With the game at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, this one is all Packers… GREEN BAY 38, JACKSONVILLE 17

 

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The Eagles actually lead the NFC East with a 3-4-1 record. Philadelphia has won two straight and is coming off a bye. One of their last two wins was over the Giants, a narrow 22-21 victory just about three weeks ago. New York is coming off a win over Washington and has lost the last eight straight to Philadelphia. Make it nine… PHILADELPHIA 27, NY GIANTS 20

 

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The Bills really came through with a big win last week beating Seattle at home. Now, they must go out west to deal with Arizona and QB Kyler Murray. The Cardinals ran into a streaking Dolphins team last week, but the Arizona offense is tough to defend. The Bills have had trouble on defense and give up 34 points in last week’s win. This will be a shootout between two potent offenses. Murray is the better dual threat quarterback… ARIZONA 33, BUFFALO 30

 

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Surprisingly, the Seahawks have lost two of their last three games. Both losses were in the division. In Week 10, they travel to another division foe, the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams had last week off to digest their awful 28-17 loss to Miami two weeks ago. The offense outgained the Dolphins, but the Rams gave up a fumble return and punt return for touchdowns. The Rams have won four of the last five in the series, but Seattle rebounds with a win… SEATTLE 29, L.A. Rams 26

 

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The 49ers had last week off to prepare for the Saints who pounded the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. With all of the injuries this season, the Niners have been respectable. If they are going to reach the postseason though, they are going to have to win on Sunday. The Saints are tough to beat at home. Plus they are much healthier than the 49ers… NEW ORLEANS 28, SAN FRANCISCO 20

 

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The Steelers have won the last ten in a row against NFC North Division rival Cincinnati. The last time the Bengals beat the Steelers was in Pittsburgh in 2015. Cincy even had a bye last week but that might not help. The Bengals are just 5-11-1 since 2013 the week after a bye. The Steelers can’t get caught napping like they did for much of last week’s game in Dallas. This isn’t the week the Steelers lose… PITTSBURGH 28, CINCINNATI 17

 

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New England head coach Bill Belichick is missing Tom Brady. The Patriots have lost two games at home already and now have to find a way to score against the NFL’s top scoring defense (17.8 points per game). Prior to Monday night’s game with the Jets, Patriots QB Cam Newton had lost 12 of his last 14 NFL starts. Lamar Jackson and company win again… BALTIMORE 34, NEW ENGLAND 27

 

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The NFC North Division race got a little more interesting with a Vikings win and a Bears loss last week. Minnesota has won two straight. Both wins were over division opponents. Can they make it a trifecta? The Bears have now lost three in a row. They will have to stop Vikings RB Dalvin Cook if they are going to have a chance to win this one. Since 2010, the Vikings have the better division record and they are 23-22-1 on the road in the same time span… MINNESOTA 27, CHICAGO 24

old predictions:

 

Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Thusday, November 7th, 2019
Betting Line: Chargers -1, O/U 48

Odds Comparison
The battle for a wild card heats up as the Chargers, fresh off a huge win over Green Bay, are now 4-5. Los Angeles has won four straight against the Raiders, but Oakland has won three of their last five games. The Raiders (4-4) have only one win over a team with a winning record. Defense – the Chargers help Green Bay to 45 yards rushing and sacked Aaron Rodgers three times – and Melvin Gordon (80 yards rushing and two TDs) will be the difference… LA Chargers 27, Oakland 20

 

Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Browns -2.5, O/U 41

Odds Comparison
The Bills had little preseason hype and are now 6-2. The Browns had plenty of preseason hype and are reeling at 2-6 after having lost four straight. Cleveland’s loaded offense – QB Baker Mayfield, WR Odell Beckham Jr., RB Nick Chubb, to name a few – averages a measly 19.0 points a game. The Bill defense is really good. Buffalo is third in total defense and scoring defense. They have also won all of their road games… Buffalo 28, Cleveland 24

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Chiefs -3.5, O/U 49

Odds Comparison
The Chiefs got back on track with a nice win over Minnesota last week. QB Matt Moore proved he could handle the Chiefs offense and it helped that KC ran for 147 yards. Tennessee (4-5) is streaky. The offense is confused. As a result, head coach Mike Vrabel started Ryan Tannehill at quarterback last week. He fared well going 27-of-39 for 331 yards and a touchdown, but he threw two costly interceptions. Patrick Mahomes could return for KC, which is 4-0 on the road this year… Kansas City 28, Tennessee 20

 

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Saints -12, O/U 51.5

Odds Comparison
The Falcons have lost six straight but didn’t lose last week. That’s because they were off. Now, they must face NFC South leader New Orleans (7-1). The Saints have won three straight against Atlanta and are playing at home where they haven’t lost this season (4-0). QB Drew Brees is back in the lineup and New Orleans has won six in row. Make it seven… New Orleans 38, Atlanta 28

 

New York Giants @ New York Jets
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Giants -2.5, O/U 44

Odds Comparison
It’s the battle for New York as the Giants face the Jets. Between the two teams, they have a total of three wins and the Jets just lost to Miami which might be the worst team in NFL history. The Giants have slightly more talent and an offense that averages more than the Jets’ 12 points a game. In the Pillow Fight of the Week… NY Giants 21, NY Jets 17

 

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Bucs
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Bucs -4.5, O/U 52

Odds Comparison
The Cardinals (3-5-1) are oh-so-close as they showed by battling San Francisco last week. Tampa Bay and head coach Bruce Arians just can’t seem to turn the corner either after taking Seattle to overtime a week ago. The Bucs have lost four straight. QB Jameis Winston didn’t throw an interception last week, which is an accomplishment. Both teams give up lots of points. Tampa Bay hasn’t won at home all year. Maybe they find a way win this one… Tampa Bay 38, Arizona 37

 

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Colts -11, O/U 44

Odds Comparison
The Dolphins finally won a game albeit over the equally abysmal New York Jets. The Fins have given up a league-high 256 points and the offense isn’t much better averaging just 12.6 points per game. Indy lost to Pittsburgh last week, but starting QB Jacoby Brissett left with an injury and backup Brian Hoyer threw a 96-yard pick-six that proved to be the difference. It appears that Brissett may miss some time, but even Hoyer can beat Miami… Indianapolis 23, Miami 10

 

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Packers -5.5, O/U 48

Odds Comparison
The Packers were stunned last week by the Chargers. Green Bay managed just 45 yards on the ground and QB Aaron Rodgers was sacked three times. L.A. will have to deal with MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey who is second in the NFL in rushing (881 yards), has 42 catches for 363 yards, and has scored a total of 13 touchdowns. Green Bay has lost to Carolina each of the last two times the teams have played. Both of those games were in Carolina. This one’s at Lambeau Field… Green Bay 27, Carolina 24

 

Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Rams -4, O/U 45

Odds Comparison
Remember when the Steelers’ season was over after losing starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger? Yeah, well Pittsburgh has won three straight. The Rams were off last week but got back on the winning track after having lost three straight. The Steelers don’t do well on the West Coast. They lost to Seattle (28-26) and San Francisco (24-20) already this season… LA Rams 29, Pittsburgh 28

 

Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: Cowboys -3, O/U 47

Odds Comparison
It’s a crucial game in Dallas on Sunday night. The Cowboys (4-3) need a win to maintain control of the NFC East. The Vikings (6-3) need to keep pace with Green Bay in the NFC North. Dallas and Minnesota couldn’t be more similar. The two teams are No. 3 and 4 in rushing and No. 4 and 5 in scoring defense. The advantage could come down to the quarterback. Kirk Cousins was on fire until last week’s loss to Kansas City. Prescott is having a better year. Advantage Cowboys… Dallas 24, Minnesota 21

 

Seattle Seahawks @San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Betting Line: 49ers -6, O/U 45

Odds Comparison
The Seahawks can gain a game on the 49ers with a win on Monday night in San Francisco. Easier said than done. The 49ers are built for a championship. They are second in the league in rushing (171.1) and third in scoring (29.4). Defensively, the 49ers lead the NFL in pass defense and total defense and they are second in points allowed (12.8). Seattle (7-2) has just found ways to win games. Only one of their seven victories has been by more than seven points. Niners get the home-field advantage… San Francisco 29, Seattle 26

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