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NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions
Updated: October 2021




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Arizona has turned some heads in 2020. The Cardinals proved once again they are for real with a win over Buffalo last week. Now, there is a logjam at the top of the NFC West Division. The Cards now face one of those division foes next week - Seattle. Arizona has already beaten the Seahawks once, 37-34, in Arizona. The Seahawks have lost two straight and three of their last four games. It’s hard to see them losing a third straight, especially at home...SEATTLE 30, ARIZONA 27


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The Lions figured out how to win a game in the final minute with a 30-27 win over Washington last week. It’s a far cry from Detroit’s performances earlier this season when the Lions blew a pair of victories in the games’ final minutes. Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater should have RB Christian McCaffrey back and that, plus playing in Charlotte, is enough to beat the Lions… CAROLINA 33, DETROIT 27


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The Steelers are 9-0 for the first time ever and travel to Jacksonville, which is just 1-8. The Jags played well last week in Green Bay falling by just four points 24-20. The Steelers defense is one of the best in the league. Jags QB Jake Luton had a rough go last week going 18-of-35 for just 159 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. The Pittsburgh defense is much better than the Packers… PITTSBURGH 33, JACKSONVILLE 20


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The Patriots (4-5) pulled off a huge upset last week beating Baltimore at home. Houston continued its disaster of a season with a 10-7 loss to Cleveland. New England has won eight of the last ten meetings with the Texans. The last time the two teams met in Houston though - that was last year - the Texans pulled off a 28-22 victory. While Houston hasn’t had much success this season, the Texans have won their last five straight games against teams from the AFC East… HOUSTON 24, NEW ENGLAND 20


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Miami won for the fifth straight game bringing the Dolphins to 6-3 and putting them in prime position for a playoff berth. The Dolphins offense has been efficient with rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa inserted into the lineup. Denver managed just six points until scoring a touchdown with six minutes to play in last week’s loss to the Raiders. The Dolphins are hot. Denver is not… MIAMI 37, DENVER 23


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If the Jets are going to win a game, this might be their best chance. The 2-7 Chargers continue to figure out different ways to lose games. The Jets had an extra week to prepare and an extra week for QB Sam Darnold to heal up. The Chargers offense can put up points. The defense just can’t stop anyone, though they should be able to slow down a Jets offense that barely averages 13 points a game… L.A. CHARGERS 30, NEW YORK JETS 23


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The Packers will face a tough test in Indianapolis. The Colts will have an extra three days to prepare having beaten Tennessee last Thursday. Green Bay had a tough time with lowly Jacksonville last week. Indy has actually beaten the Packers in three of the last four meetings between the two teams. Two of those games were in Indianapolis. Green Bay could struggle against a very good Colts defense… INDIANAPOLIS 20, GREEN BAY 17


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The good thing about having a week off is that the Cowboys couldn’t lose. Dallas is 11-8 since 2003 in games after a bye. Minnesota has been riding the back of RB Dalvin Cook who leads the NFL in rushing yards per game (122.6). The Vikings won two in a row before last week’s Monday night game in Chicago. Minnesota beat the Cowboys last year in Dallas. This year, they will do it at home… MINNESOTA 30, DALLAS 20


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The Raiders won for the third straight week beating Denver 37-12 last week setting up this AFC West showdown. Las Vegas already has one win over Kansas City this season beating the Chiefs 40-32 in Week 5. Still, KC is 5-1 against the Raiders in the last six meetings. Plus, the Chiefs have won their last six straight on the road... KANSAS CITY 33, LAS VEGAS 29


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The Rams have the kind of defense that can give Tom Brady and Tampa Bay fits. Two of the Bucs losses this season have come in prime time games. They dropped a 20-19 decision to Chicago on a Thursday night and got drilled by division rival New Orleans on a Sunday night. The two teams played last year in a wild shootout, 55-40, won by Tampa Bay. The Bucs are favored at home, but the Rams are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against Tampa Bay… LA RAMS 31, TAMPA BAY 30 Sportsbook
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Tennessee @ Jacksonville
In what appeared to be a battle for the No. 1 draft pick, Jacksonville went ahead and beat the Ravens last week, 22-20, to move to 3-6 on the season. Tennessee fell to the unbeaten Carolina Panthers one week after beating New Orleans 34-28 for their second win of the season. The Titans offense is terrible. The Jags aren’t much better, but they are at home… Jacksonville 18, Tennessee 15.

Oakland @ Detroit
Is it possible that the Lions can win two in a row? No one in their right mind thought they would beat Green Bay at Lambeau Field, but that is exactly what they did last week for the first time since 1991. Detroit welcomes a Raiders team that is up and down. They were down a week ago in a loss to Minnesota. Oakland will be up this week… Oakland 37, Detroit 34.

Indianapolis @ Atlanta
For the past six seasons, Atlanta has won every time after a bye week. The Colts, while still leading the AFC South despite a 4-5 record, appear to be improving finally. They beat Denver prior to their bye week. Don’t expect the Colts to stop the Falcons QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones… Atlanta 33, Indianapolis 28.

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
It was just a matter of time before Eagles QB Sam Bradford suffered an injury. While not a season-ending injury, Bradford will likely miss this game against the Bucs, who beat Dallas last week when QB Jameis Winston scored late in the fourth quarter. Can Mark Sanchez give Philadelphia a chance? At home, anything is possible… Philadelphia 22, Tampa Bay 17.

Denver @ Chicago
The Broncos fell for the second straight week after starting the season 7-0. Denver lost 29-13 to the Chiefs in a game where Peyton Manning was benched in favor of Brock Osweiler. Manning suffered a foot injury and his status is uncertain. The Bears have won two in a row, road games at San Diego and St. Louis. Can they pull the upset? It’s not Manning and offense that make Denver go; it’s the defense… Denver 24, Chicago 10.

Dallas @ Miami
The Cowboys have not won since Tony Romo broke his collarbone. Romo has missed seven games, all Dallas losses. Miami has been up and down since firing Joe Philbin as head coach. The Dolphins can keep their slim playoff hopes alive with a win… Miami 22, Dallas 20.

Washington @ Carolina
The Redskins put up 47 points in a big win over New Orleans last week but now face a Carolina defense that is much better than the Saints. QB Kirk Cousins will face a fierce pass rush and the running game, led by Alfred Morris (404 yards), will find the going tough. Stopping QB Cam Newton and RB Jonathan Stewart will be too much for Washington… Carolina 27, Washington 13.

Kansas City @ San Diego
The Chiefs are turning their season around. After dropping five in a row, head coach Andy Reid’s team now has won three in a row. The Chiefs have beaten contenders too, beating Pittsburgh 23-13 and Denver 29-13 on the road last week. San Diego is 2-7 and has lost four in a row. The Chargers losing streak can be blamed on a defense that has a hard time stopping anybody… Kansas City 28, San Diego 21.

Green Bay @ Minnesota
It’s hard to believe that Green Bay has lost three games in a row. That the Packers lost to Detroit at home is even more incredible than the fact that Minnesota sits atop the NFC North Division. It’s hard to see Green Bay losing four in a row, but the Minnesota defense might be the best QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have seen… Minnesota 19, Green Bay 17.

Cincinnati @ Arizona
The weekend’s most intriguing matchup happens in Arizona where the 7-2 Cardinals face currently 8-0 Cincinnati. Bengals QB Andy Dalton is enjoying his best season as a pro. He has thrown 18 touchdown passes and just four interceptions. The Cardinals have the league’s top scoring offense. This should be interesting… Arizona 31, Cincinnati 30.

Buffalo @ New England
A last-second field goal kept the Patriots unbeaten at 9-0. This week, they will take on a feisty Buffalo team that needs a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. New England will be without WR Julian Edelman too. Edelman suffered a foot injury and will likely miss the rest of the regular season. It shouldn’t matter this week… New England 38, Buffalo 21.


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